Op-Ed: CIPS, Shipping Routes, and the Structural Evolution of Global Trade Finance
Global trade is rarely shaped by rhetoric. It is shaped by tonnage, freight rates, port throughput, invoices, and settlement cycles. Long before political narratives emerge, commercial logic quietly determines outcomes. Financial infrastructure, contrary to popular belief, has almost never led trade; it has consistently followed it. From the gold standard to Bretton Woods, and later the rise of a US-dollar-centric settlement architecture, payment systems evolved in response to where goods flowed and how frequently ships sailed, not the other way around. China’s Cross-border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) should be understood within this historical continuum. It is less a geopolitical declaration than a commercial response to a changing geography of trade. As the Bank for International Settlements has repeatedly observed, payment systems tend to adapt to trade patterns rather than redirect them (BIS, 2022).
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